The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) released its weekly application survey results on Wednesday.  The highlight was a 12.43% increase in purchase applications from the previous week.  That brought the purchase index to the highest levels since February. As has been and continues to be the case, there's an obvious counterpoint... Read more

Even on a good day, the Census Bureau's New Residential Sales report has a notoriously wide margin of error.  But today's 12.8% margin of error isn't even the best counterpoint to today's ostensibly alarming 17.3% month over month decline.  After all, that would still be at least a 4.5% decline.... Read more

There are two key, big picture home price indices in the U.S.  They come out every month, but with a 2 month lag.  That means we're getting September's prices today.   The two indices are: S&P Case Shiller, which focuses on a smaller data set that tends to detect trends sooner,... Read more

As you may have gleaned from our coverage of new home sales, construction, builder confidence, and mortgage apps recently, there are only so many ways to describe the same phenomenon.  Today's report on October's Existing Home Sales from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) is just another player on that... Read more

First thing's first, mortgage applications increased last week, both for purchases and refinances! It was the first improvement for refi demand since mid September, when rates were well into their lowest levels in more than 2 years.  Top tier conventional 30yr fixed rates were being quoted at around 6% at... Read more

The most common interval for scheduled economic data is "monthly."  That means that things like inflation, sentiment, job counts, unemployment, retail sales, and many other economic metrics are updated and released every month, even when nothing very interesting is happening. On that note, there are several regularly scheduled housing related... Read more

Historically low interest rates may not have guaranteed historically high levels of housing activity, but exceptionally high rates have definitely muted activity in a measurable way.  We've cataloged this incessantly when it comes to refinance activity, but there's a correlation with home sales as well.  The Housing Market Index (HMI)... Read more

It's not entirely clear if it's a can or the proverbial bucket.  All we know is that mortgage applications have been kicking it.  There's no great way to make the news interesting now that loan volume has done what anyone would have expected it to do, given the the rapid... Read more

In today's weekly mortgage application survey from the MBA, the average 30yr fixed mortgage rate only rose from 6.73 to 6.81%.  Meanwhile, daily average rates are already back over 7%.  Any way you slice it, rates have been rising quickly and the fallout is completely unsurprising when it comes to... Read more

Housing was chugging right along in early 2020, then covid happened.  Housing experienced lots of unexpected volatility with the most important development being a huge increase in demand and prices... at first. Once rates began skyrocketing (relatively) and the frenzy began to subside, home sales numbers tanked to the weakest... Read more

The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) keeps track of applications for purchase and refi mortgages every week.  Purchase apps are slower moving, less responsive to rates, and generally bouncing along the lowest levels in more than 20 years since the end of 2023.  As such, we'll forget about them and move... Read more

While this technically signals some cooling in new construction potential, it wasn't much more of a drop than investors expected.  Moreover, there has been a gradual cooling trend intact for more than 2 years.  That's not as ominous as it sounds considering construction activity is still higher than it was... Read more

Interest rates continued their slow decline last week while application volume is inching up almost as slowly. The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) reports a 1.6 percent increase in its seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index , a measure of mortgage loan application volume. On an unadjusted basis, the Index gained 0.2... Read more

Home sale numbers continue to retreat and in July the National Association of Realtors’® (NAR) Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI) fell to its lowest level…. Ever! Based on signed sales contracts for existing single-family houses, townhomes, condos, and cooperative apartments, the PHSI was down 5.5 percent from June to 70.2.... Read more

The mortgage market seemed to be in a wait-and-see mode last week as the Federal Reserve signaled a might, maybe, we are thinking about it, approach to a September rate cut. In the interim, most interest rates inched lower. The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) said its Market Composite Index, a... Read more