It was actually a rather uneventful day for the bond market. That means it should have been an uneventful day for mortgage rates (because they're driven by changes in the bond market). To be fair, it was far from an exciting day, but the average mortgage lender was nonetheless able...
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Published on: 2025-03-20
Heading into today, we knew the afternoon's Fed announcement was biggest potential flashpoint for interest rate movement, and that the movement probably wouldn't be extreme. The unknown, as always, was the direction of said movement. Thankfully, it was lower. This wasn't destined to be the case this morning. Out of...
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Published on: 2025-03-19
As we often discuss, mortgage lenders prefer to set their rates once per day. They only make changes when the underlying bond market makes a big enough move. While it wasn't an extreme example, many lenders made such changes today as bonds improved steadily throughout the day. Before the improvements,...
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Published on: 2025-03-18
Mortgage rates are based on movement in the bond market, and the bond market is closed for most of the weekend. As such, one might assume that Monday's mortgage rates would always be right in line with Friday's. But this is definitely not the case for two reasons: 1. The...
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Published on: 2025-03-17
Despite some ups and downs on a small scale, mortgage rates have been sideways in the bigger picture. That's a good thing if the latest refi application data is any indication. Demand is at the highest levels since October as rates have generally been holding near mid-October levels. Today was...
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Published on: 2025-03-14
Mortgage rates hit their highest levels in just over 2 weeks yesterday and they were on track to remain unchanged today. In fact, the average lender offered the exact same 30yr fixed rate when this morning's initial barrage of rate sheets came out. Lenders typically publish their first rates of...
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Published on: 2025-03-13
Mortgage rates have moved up over the past 2 days, ultimately hitting the highest levels since February 24th today. While that sounds somewhat unpleasant or unfortunate, context paints a softer picture. Specifically, since February 25th, the average top tier 30yr fixed rate has been in a fairly narrow 0.12% range...
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Published on: 2025-03-12
With fiscal and geopolitical developments dominating the news cycle, it would be easy to forget that interest rates prefer to take their primary cues from economic data. This is an important reminder considering tomorrow morning brings one of the most closely watched economic reports: the Consumer Price Index (CPI). CPI...
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Published on: 2025-03-11
Conventional 30yr fixed mortgage rates hit their lowest levels in months last Tuesday morning, with the average lender right in line with levels from mid October or early December. After that, rates rose steadily for the next two days and leveled off on Friday. While the bounce was small enough...
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Published on: 2025-03-10
The average mortgage lender was briefly able to offer noticeably lower rates this morning compared to yesterday's latest levels. Credit goes to this morning's jobs report for coming in a bit weaker than expected. What do jobs have to do with rates? Rates are based on bonds and bonds are...
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Published on: 2025-03-07
You may see conflicting news about mortgage rates today, depending on where you look. Weekly surveys, such as Freddie Mac's, are showing a fairly big drop from last week. That was indeed the case over the 5 business days of the weekly survey, but that data is now quite stale. ...
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Published on: 2025-03-06
It's been a great couple of weeks for mortgage rates, largely mirroring the terrible couple of weeks for the stock market. A combination of downbeat econ data and economic concerns helped push investors away from stocks and into bonds (mortgage rates are based on bonds where more demand means lower...
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Published on: 2025-03-05
Although mortgage rates are based on bonds, and although bonds are constantly on the move throughout the day, mortgage lenders prefer to set the day's rates only once. From there, if bonds make enough of a fuss, lenders will issue mid-day changes for better or worse. Today was a bit...
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Published on: 2025-03-04
After more than a week of consistent and meaningful improvement, mortgage rates finally showed us that they were at least capable of moving in the other direction yesterday. Thankfully, that demonstration was short-lived. The average lender got back to the recently typical business of offering the lowest conventional 30yr fixed...
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Published on: 2025-02-28
Stop the presses! Mortgage rates actually moved HIGHER today! While it's the first time we've been able to say such things since last Tuesday, the damage is almost imperceptible. In fact, if we compare today's rates to yesterday morning's they're identical to slightly lower. Today's rates are only worse when...
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Published on: 2025-02-27